Super Bowl 2024 betting guide: 49ers vs. Chiefs odds, picks, projections and more — all our stories in one place – The Athletic

By Hannah VanbiberFeb 11, 2024

Follow live coverage of Super Bowl LVIII between San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs

The Super Bowl is the most bet-on sporting event in the U.S. every year, and while a lot of that action is due to sheer viewership numbers, it’s also thanks to the absolute smorgasbord of betting markets available to almost anyone with a smartphone (in certain states, of course).

Beyond the betting basics like spread, total and moneyline, there are tons of player props, novelty bets and live betting options for the Super Bowl. For serious bettors, it’s a chance to dig deep into player analysis, head-to-head comparisons, statistics and mathematical models to find an edge. And for casual fans, there’s no shortage of ways to put your pride on the line while you crush a bowl of cheese dip.

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To help you fine-tune your bets or just to give you something smart to say at your Super Bowl party, we’re covering everything you need to know about Super Bowl betting. Our experts are adding more analysis every day leading up to the big event, and we’re consolidating all of it here. Feel free to bookmark this page for continued reference.

Stay tuned, have fun and may the odds be ever in your favor!

Odds

All odds from BetMGM. Looking for NFL tickets? Buy them here.

Super Bowl 58 odds: 49ers favored against Chiefs in Las Vegas: This article gives you the early top-line stuff you need to know about each team’s path to the Super Bowl and why we’ve seen so much movement on the line.

Super Bowl projections: Chiefs meet 49ers in rematch of 2020 game: Analysis of the Chiefs’ and 49ers’ status heading into the big game, plus a statistical model predicting each team’s likelihood of claiming the Lombardi this year.

GO DEEPER

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Game and player prop bets

2024 Super Bowl Gatorade odds, predictions:Andy Reid was covered in Purple in Super Bowl LVII and Orange in LIV. What color will be used this year?

Best bets for Brock Purdy (and nine other props): Austin Mock dives into his prediction model to make 10 picks on Brock Purdy, Noah Gray, Deebo Samuel, Isiah Pacheco, Jake Moody and more.

Patrick Mahomes prop bets: Mahomes is the biggest star on the field for this Super Bowl, but the Chiefs’ matchup against the 49ers is more about their defense and running game.

Brock Purdy prop bets: The list of prop bets you can place on Purdy.

Deebo Samuel prop bets: How Deebo Samuel may be the x-factor for the 49ers against a tough Kansas City defense.

Travis Kelce prop bets: Will Travis Kelce be the Chiefs’ top receiving option or will he struggle against the 49ers defense?

Christian McCaffrey prop bets : The 49ers’ game plan is going to focus on McCaffrey, perhaps even more than usual.

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MVP odds: Patrick Mahomes is the favorite ahead of Brock Purdy: Here, our team breaks down the outside chances for players like Brock Purdy, Christian McCaffrey and Travis Kelce.

Isiah Pacheco is a dark horse MVP with great odds: Michael Salfino digs into why Isiah Pacheco is a smart long shot MVP bet.

Touchdown props: Which players should you bet on?: The best touchdown props, including who might score the first TD, who could score multiple TDs and a few long shot picks.

5 prop bets that should be more popular: The first team to reach 20 points, whether we’ll see a punt-return touchdown, which team will challenge a play first, who scores the first touchdown and how many interceptions will be thrown.

What impact might the kickers have?: Michael Salfino gets nerdy with the numbers and explains why kicking impact is so tough to predict, plus what the math says on the perfect time to go for it vs. opting for a field goal.

Super Bowl squares

How to play Super Bowl squares: Historical trends, the numbers you want – and the ones you don’t: Dan Santaromita crunches the historical numbers on Super Bowl squares. Learn how to play, and how to give yourself the best chances at your Super Bowl party. He’s got charts, bullet points and takeaways. Be ready for absolutely too much math.

Fun party props

2024 Super Bowl party props sheet: Taylor Swift, Reba McEntire, Usher, commercials and more fun bets: This downloadable prop sheet was a subscriber favorite last year. Get a massive list of questions for everyone to play at your Super Bowl party – plus, this year, subscribers can participate in The Athletic’s own party prop pool.

Super Bowl 2024 halftime show prop bets: Usher’s first song, guest appearances and more: If you need help filling out your party prop sheet for the halftime show, this piece will give you some context on the highlights we’re anticipating.

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Taylor Swift party props: Who will she sit by, will she hug Jason Kelce and more: Use this list to build a “Taylor Swift effect” prop game at your Super Bowl party, or just to see what the Swifties will be watching for.

The Super Bowl coin toss is the silliest bet you can make, but has a rich history: We look at some of the shenanigans around the coin flip in past years (including a coin flip in space!) and ask, “What ever happened to fun?” (Nonetheless, if you want to bet on it, we’ve got the odds here.)

National anthem betting: How long will Reba McEntire sing?: Is this a ridiculous thing to bet on? Of course! That’s what makes it fun? We dig into Reba’s history singing “The Star-Spangled Banner,” the length clocked by other anthem performers in recent years, and our pick for over/under.

Weird and silly Super Bowl prop bets: Proposals, Drake Curse, power outages and more: The most out-there bets you can make this year or add to your party props sheet.

Expert picks

Expert picks and predictions for 49ers vs. Chiefs: 10 analysts weigh in on score predictions and their justifications for their picks.

Greenberg and Jackson’s Super Bowl picks: Jersey number bets, Mahomes for MVP and more: Should you be nervous that the public seems to be hammering the Chiefs when the public is often so very wrong? What about MVP?

Super Bowl 58 best bets: Austin Mock’s model projects the same total as the line, but finds value in one side: If Austin Mock had one bet to pick for Super Bowl 58, this would be it. Austin has a regular sports betting column where he uses an NFL projection model to make picks.

The venue

Chiefs vs. 49ers Super Bowl at Allegiant Stadium: Does an indoor venue change the game?:  We took a look at indoor vs. outdoor Super Bowl venues from a purely historical angle to ask: What difference does a dome make? (TLDR: Probably not much. But there are some nice fact nuggets in here to wow your friends with your knowledge of the game’s illustrious history.)

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Let’s get weird: Leaving no stone unturned in Super Bowl coverage

A handwriting analyst offers her take on Brock Purdy, Patrick Mahomes and more:We asked a leading UK graphologist to give us some fun talking points on six of the Super Bowl’s main characters.

What can astrology forecast for Andy Reid and Kyle Shanahan on Sunday?: We spoke to a sports astrologer to analyze the the two Super Bowl coaches and what their star charts could say about Super Sunday. Because why not?

GO DEEPER

Super Bowl squares: Historical trends, the numbers you want — and the ones you don’t

Intro to Betting

  • What is a point spread?
  • What is a moneyline?
  • How to read sports betting odds

(Illustration: Sean Reilly / The Athletic;  Photos: Kara Durrette, Timothy T Ludwig/Bob Kupbens Jeff Speer via Getty Images)

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Hannah Vanbiber is a staff editor for sports betting at The Athletic. Hannah previously wrote for Gaming Today, New York Sports Day, Rocky Top Insider, MLIVE, and other sports betting outlets as a freelance writer. She started her journalism career in Chattanooga, Tennessee, as a reporter and editor covering local sports. Follow Hannah on Twitter @HannahVanbiber

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